7 Ways Banks Are Adapting Branch Networks to New Realities

According to the FDIC, there were just over 94,000 domestic bank branches at the end of June 2015: a net reduction of almost 1,400 branches from end-June 2014, and a decline of more than 6,000 branches since the U.S. passed the 100,000 branch threshold in mid-2009.

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The recent decrease in the number of branches is being driven by a number of factors, including banks’ focus on cutting costs in recent years.  In addition, the emergence and strong growth of online and mobile banking usage has led to consumers significantly reducing their use of branches for transaction processing.  So how are banks adapting their branch networks to this changing channel environment?  An analysis of presentations by leading U.S. banks at the recent Barclays Global Financial Services Conference identified a number of ways that banks are restructuring, repositioning, redesigning and restaffing their branches to ensure that this channel survives and thrives into the future.

  • Continuing to pursue branch consolidation.  While banks continue to emphasize their commitment to the branch channel in general, they have cut their overall number of branches in recent years, and will continue to do so.  At the Barclays conference, KeyBank reported that it had cut its branch network by 10% in the past three years, and envisages a further ongoing reduction at a rate of 2-3% per year.
  • Selling off (and acquiring) branch networks.  Most leading banks believe they need to have critical mass in particular markets.  If they feel that they cannot achieve this goal, they may decide to exit the market entirely.  Citi is exiting a number of markets, as it seeks to focus on just 6 major metro markets.  Fifth Third recently announced that it is ending its branch presence in Pennsylvania.  These branch sell-offs create opportunities for other banks who want to grow their presence in those markets (BB&T acquired Citi’s branch network in Texas, and F.N.B is  buying Fifth Third’s 17 branches in Pittsburgh).
  • Developing a hub-and-spoke approach.  Rather than having a dense network of similarly-sized branches, some banks are looking to establish a hub-and-spoke approach in specific markets.  This approach typically features a flagship branch as well as a reduced number of small branches.  At the Barclays conference, Synovus claimed that it was applying a hub-and-spoke system.  Other banks with flagship branches include Bank of America and Citibank, which now has flagship branches in four of its six target U.S. metro markets.
  • Redesigning and re-staffing branches.  As the branch channel’s primary role shifts from transaction processing to sales and service, leading banks are overhauling store layouts and are replacing tellers with product experts.  In addition to closing or consolidating 400 branches in recent years, PNC reported that it has converted 300 branches to its universal banking model (featuring concierge stations and reformatted teller stations).  In addition to providing enhanced sales and services to branch visitors, PNC claims that these branches cost 45% less than traditional branches.  In terms of staffing, Bank of America reported that it has added nearly 1,200 financial solutions advisers and small business bankers over the past two years.
  • Growing in-store branch networks.  Banks like Huntington and U.S. Bank have significant in-store or on-campus branch networks, and remain committed to this channel.  Huntington Bank recently announced that it was adding 43 in-store branches in Michigan via its relationship with Meijer Stores.
  • Incorporating new functionality into online and mobile banking services to drive branch traffic. Bank of America reported that its clients used the bank’s online and mobile apps to schedule an average of 14,000 branch appointments per week in August 2015.  And in September 2015, Bank of America announced online and mobile banking enhancements, which included enabling clients to make same-day financial center appointments.
  • Applying guerrilla marketing tactics.  Banks are becoming more creative in how they establish a physical presence to better interact with clients and prospects.  Leveraging its relationship with the Green Bay Packers, Associated Bank has set up a virtual branch in the parking lot of Lambeau Field to target tailgaters.

While the overall number of branches is likely to continue to decline, most banks appreciate the key role that branches play in sales, service and branding, and remain committed to the channel.  However, banks will continue to adjust branch density, design, layout, staffing and integration with other channels, in order to control costs and adapt to new consumer preferences and behaviors in how they interact with their banks.

Credit Card Issuers Increase Focus on the Subprime Market

The American Banker Association’s September 2015 Credit Card Market Monitor found a 28% y/y rise in new subprime accounts, indicating that issuers are expanding their focus as they seek to grow revenues. An analysis by EMI Strategic Marketing of the FICO composition of credit card outstandings at the end of 2Q15 finds that many leading card issuers are accelerating growth in sub-prime and low-prime outstandings.

  • In recent years, Wells Fargo has reported strong y/y growth in all FICO categories.
    • In its <600 FICO category, growth has accelerated to double-digit rates in the past three quarters.
    • Its 600-639 FICO category has grown by double-digit rates in six of the past seven quarters.

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  • Among national credit card issuers, Bank of America’s subprime outstandings declined 9% y/y in 2Q15, but the rate of subprime loan decline has been steadily slowing in recent quarters.  However, Citi’s subprime outstandings growth performance is less consistent, with y/y growth from 4Q13 to 2Q14 followed by declines for the past four quarters.

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  • There are also mixed trends when analyzing subprime outstandings performance of regional bank card issuersPNC reported a 6% y/y decline in <620 FICO outstandings in 2Q15, compared to a rise of 1% in 1Q15.  Regions reported strong growth in <620 FICO in recent quarters (double-digit y/y rises between 2Q14 and 1Q15), but this fell to just 2% in 2Q15.  However, it should be noted that Regions’ total subprime outstandings were just $49 million, so variations in growth rates are not unexpected.  SunTrust reported double-digit y/y increases in subprime outstandings for three of the past four quarters.

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EMI’s analysis also shows that subprime outstandings growth continues to trail prime and superprime outstandings growth for several reasons:

  • The large national issuers continue to deal with legacy issues following the financial crisis.
  • For issuers in general, underwriting standards continue to favor superprime consumers.
  • And even though many issuers are ramping up subprime account production, it will take some time before it translates into strong growth in subprime outstandings.

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Meanwhile, an analysis of FDIC data for the 2Q15 shows strong outstandings growth for subprime credit card specialists, including Comenity (+23% y/y) and Merrick Bank (+16%). As the card industry in general increase its focus on the subprime market, it will be interesting to see if the acceleration in subprime outstandings growth among some regional bank card issuers is replicated by the large national issuers.  In addition, growth in subprime credit card outstandings should result in delinquency and charge-off rates rising from their current historically low levels.

Leading U.S. Banks Continue Robust C&I Loan Growth

The leading U.S. banks reported a 10% y/y rise in average commercial and industrial (C&I) loans in 2Q15, based on an EMI analysis of the FFIEC call report data.

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Interest income on C&I loans rose 5% y/y, indicating that downward pressure on commercial loan pricing persists.  This is reflected in the following table, which shows consistent y/y declines in commercial loan yields.  However, there are signs that yield are now stabilizing.

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Most leading banks report that the commercial loan market is highly competitive.  So, how are banks managing to grow their C&I loan portfolios at double-digit rates?

  • Banks are targeting specialty segments.  Many leading banks reported that targeted vertical segments drove overall commercial loan growth in the second quarter.  Comerica’s average technology and life sciences loans rose 20% y/y, compared to only 3% for total Comerica middle market loans.  And while KeyBank grew its commercial, financial and agricultural loans by 12%, loans to the transportation sector grew by a hefty 42%. A bank’s selection of target segments depends on a number of factors, including segment size and growth, concentration of specific segments in their footprint; and the bank’s heritage in serving this segment.  To more effectively build a presence in specific vertical markets, many banks are now creating dedicated teams that include industry experts.  In addition, a number of banks are developing segment-specific content, which both establishes bank credibility and creates opportunities for prospect engagement.
  • There are signs of growth in commercial loan utilization.  As the economy and business optimism improves, companies are more inclined to invest to grow their businesses.  A number of banks are now reporting a slow-but-steady rise in commercial loan utilization.  Regions reported a 97 basis point increase in line utilization during the quarter. Equally, Fifth Third’s commercial line utilization rose from 32% to 33% in the second quarter.
  • Banks are increasingly focused on optimizing commercial client lifetime value.  As in consumer banking, banks are seeking to optimize relationships with commercial clients by taking a lifetime value approach and focusing not just on acquisition, but on all key stages of the relationship (including onboarding, retention and cross-sell).  The effect of this approach for banks can be significant.  Since the start of 2010, Huntington Bank has grown commercial relationships by 36%, but commercial relationship revenue by 72%. The percentage of Huntington’s commercial clients with 4+ services rose from 32.6% to 43.4% over the past three years.  This long-term perspective may also help explain why yields on new commercial remain low.  In discussing its quarterly financials, KeyBank claimed that “if we believe we have a client who wants a broad relationship and the credit metrics look good for us, we know that over time we can generate a profitable relationship, even if we are pressured a bit on the loan pricing.”