Reports of branch channels’ demise greatly exaggerated

A few months ago, Bank of America reported that it would consolidate reducing the size of its branch network, with speculation that it would eventually close up to 10% of branches (Bank of America has grown its branch network aggressively over the past decade (organically and through acquisition) and even with a 10% decline, the bank would have approx. 5,500 branches).

Some industry commentators saw this announcement as indicative of the long-term demise of the branch channel.   With self-service channels accounting for a majority of service transactions, branch density does not have to be as high, so some branch consolidation is inevitable.

However, the bigger change is the repositioning of branches as platforms for more complex transactions that require one-to-one transactions with specialists.  The staff mix in branches will change, with fewer tellers needed to handle everyday transactions, and greater deployment of sales specialists (Chase recently reported that it grew its sales specialists from 5,454 in 1Q09 to 6,319 in 1Q10).

The demise of bank branches?

In August 2009, Bank of America signaled that it would be reducing its branch network by up to 10%.  Some industry commentators took this to be indicative of the longer-term demise of the branch channel.  These analysts pointed to branch costs, as well as the increased usage of online banking and related services.  Most leading U.S. banks did reduce branch numbers in 3Q09.  However, many of these banks acquired other banks over the past year, and the reduction in branch numbers comes from the elimination of overlapping branches.

Going forward, banks may well continue to shave branch numbers in order to control costs and reduce branch density.  However, we do not envisage the demise of the branch channel.  What we are seeing is a re-evaluation of the role of the branch, given that online banking, online bill payment and mobile banks are not accounting for a growing share of day-to-day banking transactions.  In the future, branch activities will be more focused on complex interactions, such as lending, marketing of new products and services, the provision of financial advice and general relationship development.

The following are branch counts for leading banks in 3Q09 (with changes from 2Q09 in parentheses)

  • Wells Fargo: 6,653 (down 15)
  • Bank of America: 6,008 (down 101)
  • Chase: 5,126 (down 77)
  • PNC: 2,553 (down 53)
  • Regions (down 4)
  • BB&T: 1,859 (up 354, due to acquisition of Colonial Bank)
  • SunTrust: 1,690 (down 2)
  • Fifth Third: 1,306 (no change)
  • Citi Retail Banking North America: 1,051 (up 21)
  • KeyBank: 1,003 (up 10)
  • Huntington: 610 (no change)
  • Comerica: 444 (up 3)