Tag Archives: chase

JPMorgan Chase continues to add branches and sales specialists

Given that there is much discussion in banking circles on the future of the branch, it is interesting to note that JPMorgan Chase is continuing to grow its branch network, as well as continuing to grow specialist staff numbers (notably personal bankers and sales specialists).  According to data published this morning for its Retail Financial Services unit:

  • Chase’s retail branch network rose by 240 over the past year, and by 112 in the quarter, to 5,508 branches.  Although it recently scaled back its aggressive branch expansion plans, it sees significant opportunity to expand its retail network in selected markets, such as Florida.
  • It now has more than 6,000 sales specialists, which represents a y/y increase of 23%.  Chase ratio of sales specialists per branch increase from 0.93 in 4Q10 to 1.09 in 4Q11.
  • Chase has also significantly grown its network of personal bankers, with an increase of 12% in the past year, to 24,308.  As with sales specialists, the ratio of personal bankers per branch rose, from 4.13 in 4Q10 to 4.41 in 4Q11.

Credit card issuers focused on new customer acquisition; should not ignore portfolio management

Leading U.S. credit card issuers have been focused on growing cardholder spending volume in recent quarters (click here for our recent blog on strong growth in credit card volume for leading issuers), but there has yet to be an appreciable rise in outstandings. This is due to cardholders’ desire to reduce their debts, as well as residual reluctance on the part of issuers to open the lending spigot following the financial crisis.

However, we do note that several leading card issuers are ramping up their new customer acquisition efforts:

  • Bank of America grew new U.S. credit card accounts 17% between 2Q11 and 3Q11
  • Chase grew proprietary cards 20% y/y in first 9 months of 2011
  • Capital One card origination levels doubled between 3Q10 and 3Q11

Some of these issuers reduced their customer bases significantly in recent years, so this growth is in fact returning customer numbers to what the issuers would perceive to be normal levels.  The issuers have also focused customer acquisition efforts on certain segments of the market–such as affluents and small business–that they expect will be strong performers in the coming years.

Having concentrated on customer acquisition, it is vital that credit card issuers now also establish portfolio management strategies to maximize customer lifetime value. Effective portfolio management plans focus on three areas:

  • Activation (onboarding efforts, incentives to drive initial card usage)
  • Retention (communications and incentives around anniversaries, processes for handling cardholder complaints, and winback programs)
  • Relationship optimization (periodic special offers based on customer value and/or life events, targeted cross-sell/upsell offers, and consistent user experience across all customer touchpoints)

Credit quality continues to improve for leading U.S. card issuers

The leading U.S. credit card issuers continue to report strong improvements in their net charge-off rates.

  • Of the 11 issuers analyzed, eight had 3Q11 net charge-off rates below 5%.  Four had rates below 4%, with American Express leading the industry, at 2.6%
  • Over the past 12 months, eight issuers reduced rates by more than three percentage points (300 basis points)
  • Seven issuers reported rate declines of more than 100 bps between 2Q11 and 3Q11

Issuers also reported strong year-on-year improvements in 30+ day delinquency rates, although the quarterly trend indicates that these declines may be bottoming out. 

  • Five of the seven issuers analyzed had 30+ day delinquency rates below 3%
  • Six of the seven issuers reported triple-digit y/y declines in delinquency rates. The largest decline was reported by Bank of America (178 bps), which still has the highest delinquency rate among these seven issuers
  • Between 2Q11 and 3Q11, delinquency rates for two issuers (American Express U.S. Card and U.S. Bank) were unchanged.  Capital One’s 30+ day delinquency rate rose 32 bps in the most recent quarter

The strong declines in charge-off and delinquency rates have enabled issuers to significantly reduce their provisions for credit losses, which have boosted profitability.  However, with delinquency rate declines leveling off, it is expected that reductions in charge-off rates and loss provisions will also abate in the coming quarter.

Therefore, issuers will increasingly look towards revenue growth drivers to maintain and grow profitability.  On the one hand, they will seek to continue to encourage cardholders to increase spending on their cards, which drives up noninterest income.  In addition, with charge-off rates now at relatively low levels, and with revenue growth remaining anemic, credit card issuers may be more inclined in the coming quarters to seek to build card outstandings and drive net interest income, perhaps through a combination of easing underwriting standards, offering strong introductory offers on balance transfers, and even reducing APRs.