Small business lending trends from banks’ 1Q11 financials

Most banks do not break out small business lending data in any greater detail in their quarterly financials, but Bank of America and Chase both provided some interesting (and contrasting) small business lending-related metrics when they published their first quarter 2011 results last week:

  • Chase grew business banking originations 57% y/y, to $1.4 billion.  In addition, end-of-period business banking loans rose for the second consecutive quarter, to $17.0 billion.  In presenting the quarterly financials, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon claims that the bank is starting to see real small business loan demand
  • Bank of America’s small business loan charge-off rate fell for the sixth consecutive quarter, declining 45 bps from 4Q10 to 8.68% (this is the lowest rate since 1Q08).  However, its small business loan portfolio continued to decline, falling 2.8% in the quarter to $14.3 billion at the end of 1Q11 (although the rate of decline is falling)

So while Bank of America remains focused on getting credit quality under control, Chase has forged ahead and is growing its small business franchise.  As other national and regional banks publish their quarterly financials over the next week, it will be interesting if any other bank has started to grow its small business loan portfolio.

Internet is now Bank of America’s largest credit card account production channel

Bank of America’s Full Year 2010 Investor Factbook revealed some interesting trends in various channel’s share of credit card account production

  • eCommerce channel accounted for 36% of the bank’s credit card account production in 2010, up significantly from 15% in 2008
  • Bank branch network share fell from 25% to 21% (note that Bank of America was at the forefront in the mid 2000’s in driving credit card sales through branches)
  • Direct mail share rose from 20% to 21%, stemming steady declines in its share of account production in recent years

The findings underscore the growing importance of the Internet as a sales channel.  However, what the Bank of America data does not reflect is the fact that consumers now tend to use multiple channels before making an acquisition.  For example, a consumer could receive a credit card offer in the mail, but submit their application via the Internet.  Therefore, bank credit card issuers need to ensure that these key channels (Internet, branch and DM) are all in synch to optimize sales effectiveness.

Volumes for Leading Card Issuers Are Recovering

In their most recent quarterly financials, the leading U.S. credit card issuers continued to show improvement in spending volumes. Credit card volumes were significantly hit in 2009, as consumers pulled back on discretionary spending, and as credit card issuers retrenched and reduced account numbers.

The following chart shows that most leading issuers returned to year-on-year growth in credit card volume in 2010, and that the rate of growth has steadily improved.

The reasons for the recent improvement in card volume are:

  • Overall economic recovery, with corresponding growth in consumer spending
  • Issuers’ promotion of card spending as a source of revenue, in particular as outstandings growth has been largely absent

A number of card issuers recently predicted that card outstandings should grow in the second half of 2011, but we expect that issuers will continue to push card volume, and aim for a good balance between spending and lending.