Stellar Commercial Lending Growth for U.S. Banks

An analysis of leading U.S. banks’ first quarter 2012 financial results reveals strong growth across the board in average commercial loan balances. This growth is largely due to the economic recovery following the Great Recession. Of the 14 banks studied, 11 recorded double-digit year-on-year increases in their portfolios.

This growth momentum has been maintained in recent quarters, with all banks reporting growth in average commercial loans between 4Q11 and 1Q12, and five having quarterly growth rates of more than 5%. As with the y/y growth, quarterly growth rates were strongest for PNC (+11%, boosted by the acquisition of RBC Bank) and Key (+7%).

Bank are further boosted by the fact that most reported commercial loan charge-off rates declines over the past year. However, increased competition for commercial loans has led to most banks reporting declines in loan yields over the past year.  PNC’s yield on its commercial, financial industrial loans fell 53 basis points (bps) between 1Q11 and 1Q12.  Other banks with substantial declines in commercial loan yields during this period include SunTrust (-47 bps), U.S. Bank (-42 bps), KeyBank (-55 bps) and BB&T (-31 bps).

Banks expect that commercial loans will continue to grow over the next few quarter (barring an unexpected economic crisis) and are pursuing a number of approaches to grow their commercial franchises.

  • Targeting high-potential segments: A number of banks are focusing on particular industry segments. PNC’s overall commercial growth was driven by strong performance in lending to health care and financial services firms. Comerica’s energy portfolio grew by 62%, and its tech and life sciences portfolio increased by 38%. Banks are also targeting different business-size segments, such as middle markets (Chase grew its middle market loan portfolio 19% y/y).
  • Building commercial deposits and cross-selling commercial clients:  Capital One grew commercial deposits 15% y/y. And when banks bring in these new commercial deposit relationships, they then need to develop effective cross-sell programs. Huntington reported a 33% annualized increase in commercial deposits in 1Q12. It also claimed that 33% of commercial clients had 4+ products in 1Q12, up from 25% in 1Q11.
  • Encouraging commercial clients to increase line utilization. Line utilization declined significantly following the financial crisis, as businesses retrenched. Many banks reported that utilization rates remained relatively low in the most recent quarter, but some banks are seeing some improvement. Regions reported a 45 basis point increase in utilization.

Larger banks gaining in small business lending

EMI recently carried out an analysis of current FDIC data on the C&I loan portfolios of U.S. banks.  This analysis revealed the following trends:

  • Large banks (with more than $10 billion in assets) had the strongest growth in their total C&I loan portfolios between 3Q10 and 3Q11.  This is consistent with recent financials from the largest banks, most of whom have reported strong growth in commercial lending in recent quarters

  • Looking at small business loan portfolios (defined as C&I loans of less than $1 million), at first glance the trend is more consistent: larger banks still outperform their smaller counterparts, but the gap is much narrower than for C&I loans.

  • However, when we drill further into small business loan portfolios, we see that the largest banks grew their portfolio of very small business loans (original amounts of less than $100,000) by 5%, while the other three bank segments experienced loan portfolio declines in this category (note that this loan category has a high concentration of small business credit card loans).

There are now some indications that small business lending will grow in 2012.  Will larger banks continue to outperform smaller banks in overall loan portfolio growth? And will loan growth continue to be concentrated on the smallest category of loans, or will it be extended to loans of $100,000 to $1 million?

Growth in middle market commercial lending

Recent articles in the Wall Street Journal and American Banker both discuss growth in U.S. banks’ commercial and industrial (C&I) lending.  This growth in business lending has come at a time when banks are striving to find ways to catalyze revenue growth.

Banks’ first quarter financials shows particularly strong growth rates in lending to mid-sized commercial clients.  The following table shows that for some leading U.S. banks (who break out C&I loan portfolio), middle market lending was stronger than overall C&I lending in the most recent quarter (the exception to this was at U.S. Bank).

Bank

4Q10-1Q11 Change in Average Loan Portfolio

Middle Market

C&I

Chase

+4.5%

+1.2%

Comerica

+0.8%

+0.1%

Key

+1.0%

-3.4%

U.S. Bank

+3.8%

+4.5%

In addition, banks reported growth in credit line utilization rates in 1Q11, in some cases for the first time in many quarters:

  • Bank of America reported that its middle market revolver utilization rate rose to 35%
  • Wells Fargo announced that its wholesale line utilization rate rose by 50 bps in the quarter to 33%
  • Chase middle market line utilization increased 100 bps in the quarter to 35%