Commercial loan growth momentum continues at leading U.S. banks

In spite of the continued economic uncertainty, U.S. banks continue to enjoy strong growth in commercial lending. A study of the 2Q12 financial results of 14 leading U.S. banks revealed that 11 grew average commercial loans by double-digit rates. In addition, 11 banks had higher year-over-year growth rates in 2Q12 than in 1Q12.

13 of the 14 banks reported growth in commercial loan portfolios between 1Q12 and 2Q12.

Looking at specific banks:

  • Commercial loan growth was led by PNC, although it should be recognized that PNC completed the acquisition of RBC Bank in 1Q12, which significantly skews the data.  PNC recorded above-average growth rates for financial services and health care loan portfolios.
  • U.S. Bank had the second-largest y/y growth rate, at 24%, led by a 52% rise in its specialized industries portfolio.
  • Comerica increased its average commercial loan portfolio 20% y/y, driven by a 46% rise in its specialty lending portfolio. (Over the past year, Comerica grew its energy loan portfolio by 68% and its tech and life sciences portfolio by 36%.)
  • KeyBank’s average commercial, financial and agricultural loan portfolio grew 19% y/y. KeyBank reported that its commercial loan utilization rate has been increasing in recent quarters, from 43.4% in 2Q11 and 46.9% in 1Q12 to 47.3% in 2Q12.
  • Chase grew commercial banking average loans 16% y/y, driven by a 42% rise in its corporate client banking loan portfolio (which covers clients with $500 million to $2 billion in annual revenue).
  • Bank of America was the only bank to report a quarterly decline in its average commercial loan portfolio (-2.7%). In addition, it had the second-lowest y/y growth rate (of 6.1%).

Most of the banks are reported improvements in commercial loan charge-off rates.  However, yields on commercial loans continue to fall. All 12 of the banks reporting commercial loan yield data had y/y declines, but it’s important to note that 4 of the 12 (PNC, Wells Fargo, BB&T and M&T) reported an increase in commercial loan yields between 1Q12 and 2Q12.

Banks pull back on marketing spend in 2Q12

A scan of second quarter 2012 marketing spend data for leading U.S. banks revealed that most reported year-on-year declines.  These declines have been driven by both general economic uncertainty, as well as the fact that many banks have recently put ambitious cost-cutting initiatives in place.  Of the 12 banks studied, only four reported y/y increases in spending.  And Capital One’s spend excluding the impact of the HSBC card portfolio acquisition was also lower than in 2Q11.

The largest declines among the banks studied were at SunTrust and Bank of America.

  • SunTrust reduced marketing and customer development spending 30% y/y in 2Q12.  Its spend for the first half of 2012 was also down 30% from the same period in 2011.  In the presentation of its financials, the bank provided an update on its PPG Expense Program, which it expects to generate $300 million in annualized savings by the end of 2013.
  • Bank of America is following a similar a pattern, with marketing spend down 20% y/y in 2Q12, and down 19% y/y in the first half of 2012.  Like SunTrust, Bank of America devoted a section of its earnings presentation to discussing its New BAC cost reduction program, which has a goal of generating $5 billion in annualized cost savings by the end of 2014.

For other banks, the declines in 2Q12 follow significant recent growth in marketing spend.

  • JPMorgan Chase’s marketing spend in 2Q12 was down 14% y/y.  This follows a rise in 28% spending in 2011.
  • Citigroup reduced its marketing budget 6% in 2Q12, following a jump of 40% in 2011.

For some banks, marketing spend patterns can be related to timing of campaigns.

  • U.S. Bancorp’s marketing and business development spend was down 11%.  However, looking at the first half of the year, spend is up 22% over the same period in 2011).
  • Capital One actually grew spending 2% over the same period in 2011, and it reported that spending in the second half of 2012 would increase, due to the timing of some marketing campaigns.
  • KeyBank increased marketing spend 6%, which it attributed to a spring home equity lending campaign.

Finally, American Express reduced spend 3% y/y, but (at $773 million) its marketing and promotion expense still represented 10% of net revenues, a much higher percentage than at other leading financial institutions.  American Express’s goal is for its marketing and promotion expense to be around 9% of revenues.

Lead Gen Budget Allocation…Zig When Others Zag

MarketingSherpa recently published the results of a survey that queried marketers on their expected budget allocations for various lead generation activities. Most of the focus among those who have picked up on this data has been on the increased budget for digital activities—in particular, social. The data does indeed tell an interesting story about the overwhelming trend in marketing to move away from traditional outbound demand generation tools towards inbound tools like social, SEO, and content marketing. From a practitioner’s perspective, however, I take something else away from the data: if I thought my audience might be receptive, I’d be overweighting to direct mail and paid search.

Sometimes in marketing it’s worth following the trends—not because they are trends but because they have become trends on the basis of positive reinforcement. SEO falls squarely into this category. There are times, though, when a trend develops out of wishful thinking and the fear of being left behind. While social absolutely has its merits and is a valuable tool for certain strategic situations, as a lead generation tool, I’d say the jury is still out.

And that brings me back to direct mail and paid search. Given the choice between marketing where all your competitors are and marketing where they are not, I’ll go with the road less traveled, zigging when others zag. We marketers spend much time, effort, and money trying to craft creative that gets our messages noticed. What if you put yourself in a position to be noticed simply be being the only piece of substantive mail on your target’s desk or the top sponsored link in a search? I’m not advocating ignoring the social channel at all, but sometimes zigging can deliver a big return.